ID release timing now into 2023

NZ has been given a green tick from VW Group for accepting need to clean up transport CO2, but there’s no queue-jumping for its tasty-looking electrics.

ID cars are being exported … but the ship won’t be stopping in NZ until early 2023 at best.

BURNED by its diesel emissions scandal in 2015, Europe's largest carmaker is investing around $50 billion in electric vehicles, staking its future on new technology and a dramatic shift away from fossil fuels.

Its ambition is far from half-hearted. Analysts recently conjected the undisputed king of the electric car, Tesla, might well be matched sale for sale by Volkswagen Group as early as next year with the Germans 300,000 units ahead by 2025.

Most will be cars from the VW parent brand, from the already impressive yet still-growing ID family. Also in the mix are Skodas, Audis and SEAT/Cupra cars sharing the parent’s bespoke MEB platform.

What will be New Zealand’s contribution to this historic global assault?

Shockingly, for electric car fans, over the next two years, the official input is very likely to come to … zero.

greg leet, general manager of VW passenger in NZ.

That’s the sobering reality, outlined by Greg Leet, general manager of Volkswagen passenger here.

Asked when the ID brand will officially represent in this country, he has confirmed earlier optimism of anything coming within the next 18 months has been all but scuppered. Introduction in early 2023 at best seems far more probable. 

“I still feel we are one buying cycle away from the ability to buy a fully electric Volkswagen.”

It’s hardly good news for the growing EV fanbase eager now to put their cash behind Europe’s most promising alternates to the Tesla, Hyundai and, primarily in used import ranks, Nissan electric cars that have so far been the mainstay models on the national scene.

VW Group’s inability to serve is not a distributor decision. Leet openly admits he would have at least the ID4 crossover here now if that were at all possible. 

If VW was able, it would be selling the ID4 now. It believes the model would quickly gain much the same popularity as the current local best-seller, the Tiguan.

“There’s an absolute desire to have the ID cars.” If the five-seater ID4 was here now, he believes, it would “very quickly achieve the same volume as its closest ICE (internal combustion engine) cousin.”

That’s the Tiguan, which is forecast to take more than 1000 sales this year. “We have very good aspirations for the ID range.”

But it’s not going to happen. VW’s production is still ramping up; ultimately, ID cars will likely come out of numerous plants, not all in Germany. But, for now, the output is constrained, allocations are strictly decided by the factory – with Europe getting first dibs.

Germany respects that NZ has great Green credential in respect to our electricity generation and that is has developed a solid EV recharging infrastructure.

It is as heartened as Leet has been by the Government’s recent announcement of intent to encourage EV ownership, wean us out of combustion engine products and dissuade support for high CO2 emitting vehicles.

 Though a coat-tailing Climate Change Commission advisory on what NZ needs to do to bring CO2 counts into line with international forecast has caused the car industry some consternation, Leet says the preliminary comment from Government about need to clean up transport emissions is a positive recognition. It finally puts NZ in the same conversation, with the same requirements, that are being tackled in Europe.

“We are all committed to reducing the CO2 footprint. That there’s an absolute appetite from our Government to say ‘we want to be part of this as well’ is treated very seriously by the factory. It is one of the main topics that they listen to.”

Yet that’s not enough for Germany to alter its view that NZ is of lower priority for its new-era products than other countries.

What other elements might change its mind? An actual incentive programme to support purchase of NZ-new EVs would always be handy. Also, a better attitude from Australia. Like it or not, our markets are bundled. Our neighbour has much greater volumes. But – and this is a huge frustration – they just don’t have anything like the same interest in promoting EVs. 

Beyond that, ID isn’t a line that can just be introduced without preparation.

ID production is sill ramping up, bu VW has aspiration to go big. Very big.

“There’s a lot of resource and work required to enable the ID range to different countries. While we are a part of that conversation with the factory, the opportunity for us to have it is still a little while away.

“We are part of the roadmap for the ID cars,” he insists. But the factory are very committed to Europe in respect to electrification.”

 In the meantime, then, with the e-Golf now out of production and local supply exhausted, VW NZ is out of the electric car business. It’s best hope of plugging in again in the interim is with PHEV versions of existing core fossil-fuelled cars, notably the Touareg – the incoming R runs mains-replenished battery assist – the Tiguan and the Golf. 

“Our commitment is to get hybrids and PHEVs to support our Government mandate to reduce CO2. 

“While our ICE vehicles are very fuel efficient, we are working really hard to improve.”

Leet reminds he can only speak about the product his operation sells. But all VW Group brand franchises here are held by a common distributor, European Motor Distributors, so they’re close.

So do the local operations for Audi – which, of course, already has electric fare here, on other platforms – SEAT/Cupra and Skoda having any better luck with achieving their own MEB models, already either in production (Skoda Enyaq) or soon to be (Audi Q4 e-Tron, Cupra Born) ahead of VW NZ? Says Leet about that: “I think we will have them (the ID and sister MEB models) at very close timings.”

Of course, NZ is already home to grey import IDs. Barely-driven cars from the United Kingdom, plucked as dealer demonstrators. Some examples of the ID3 hatchback – which VW NZ does not plan to sell here - are here and it’s accepted ID4s will soon join them. How does Leet feel about that? There’s a degree of pragmatism.

Leet says VW NZ will do its best to be of assistance to buyers of grey import IDs, but the official support network hasn’t been developed and, in any event, the ID3 that has so far been showing up won’t be sold here anyway.

“We would dearly love to be the importer of those cars. But we just aren’t. I don’t blame a customer at all for … purchasing these cars. Our approach to it is that these are effectively new Volkswagens, so we want the opportunity to welcome those customers into the VW network as soon as we can.”

There’s been talk that the factory is so disgruntled by grey imports it has signalled they might lose manufacturer warranty protection. Is it that black and white? With ID, the maker has prescribed a particular view, Leet says. 

“The factory homologates cars for the market of destination. These are UK cars.”

That status might become important in event of, say, a recall. Conceivably, under any warranty that might still exist, a UK car would have to be tended to by an accredited UK dealer. Would any owner really want to ship their imported ID halfway back across the world for, say, a software update? Probably not. But what if VW signalled need to undertake a major revision, like a battery change, as Hyundai has now done with its big selling Kona and Ioniq?

Whoever imports has a duty to provide back up to best ability. What chance that will realistically happen? Not for Leet to say. He simply notes: “They are deemed the importer so you would assume they would also undertake some responsibility.”

As things stand, Leet says, those UK cars will be encumbered by sat nav and traffic sign recognition programmed for their place of original sale. ID models are designed to take software updates. Those will likely also be market specific.

Nonetheless, the VW NZ attitude is that it will do the best it can for all owners, regardless of how their cars are sourced. But with ID it is challenging; there’s not the readiness for it as there would be for, say, an ex-Japan Golf.

 “We do want to be in the position that we can look after, and repair, those cars as required. But that takes a bit of work – there is special tooling, there are specific software requirements for these cars” and they demand trained staff. “That takes a while to set up.” VW NZ has not gone down that path yet.  

“As far as the technology to set up for the software … we’re working on that, and are likely to achieve it.

“As far as being able to have panel parts, windscreens and other parts … we’re not quite there yet.”

Logically, too, even when ID has officially established, VW NZ will prioritise parts for the cars it sells new, rather than those it won’t. Something else for those ID3 buyers, in particular, to consider.

ID check: Why VW’s high-powered effort is so tasty

VW’s electric push is global, but NZ is not yet on the A-list. After seeing what’s on offer, you might wish we were.

The eye-catching ID Buzz concept of 2017 is coming out in 2017 as the ID.7. Let’s hope NZ catches this wave.

THE sooner Kiwis get into the new electric vehicle habit, the sooner they will likely get to enjoy a slew of battery-reliant cars set to unleash from Volkswagen. 

That’s long been the indication from VW’s national distributor, which makes clear that markets that show most support for mains-supported models tend to achieve priority from this maker. 

We’re seeing it already; as is well known, this maker is well into a massive EV ambition; investment of around $122 billion in development of EVs and other new technologies over the next five years has been signed off and hardly a week goes by when yet another car in its bespoke electric family, called the ID range, doesn’t seem to pop up.

ID looks brilliant for NZ; but NZ – for all the attraction of being a world-leader in generation of ‘Green’ renewable electricity (thanks to our rich hydro, geothermal, wind and solar resource) – is not yet brilliant for VW.

The reasons why the e-Golf that has modestly plugged VW electric potentials for the past two years has retired with no direct replacement not set to land until the end of 2022 are multifold, but essentially VW is prioritising places where it has to be or where market opportunity is so obvious it cannot afford not to involve.

Europe is top of the list because of tough European Union emissions fleet-wise standards. Electric cars are a vital off-set to achieving CO2 targets. Failure will mean huge fines.

The second is the gold mine. China is VW’s largest single export market – it’s also the world’s largest EV market. VW is putting a lot of focus into launching eight ID models into China by 2023.  

More recently, it is paying attention to the increasing number of countries, of which the United Kingdom is probably the best known to us, that have set dates for the switch to zero emission-only cars.

These and other reasons – the impact of coronavirus on production, the fact that VW’s electric cars come out of a handful of factories, the limitations in making enough batteries - is why VW New Zealand boss Greg Leet expressed opinion a month ago that he expects “late 2022” is now the best bet for when NZ will start seeing ID cars on sale here.

That’s a huge frustration not least because other makes in the VW family that also have electric cars off the common ID platform (called MEB) are less constrained, to the point their own cars are almost certain to beat the ‘originals’ to local sale. For Skoda, that’s the Enyaq, for SEAT the E-Born and for Audi, which is already establishing increasing presence with its big e-trons, that’ll be the Q4 e-tron.

Regardless, when ID does arrive, we can expect to see an explosion of choice – VW has a much wider choice of MEB-based electric models than any other Group make. 

Let’s go through them:

ID.1 and the ID.2 crossover sister ship are city chic runabouts designed as budget EVs.

ID.1 and ID.2: Respectively a supermini and compact crossover intended to sit alongside the combustion-engined Polo and T-Cross respectively that will hit production in 2023 and introduce on a ‘lite’ version of the MEB platform. 

These models have a firm urban, short journey focus so will run smaller batteries, up to 45kWh, and also sell in a lower price bracket. 

Volkswagen CEO Ralf Brandstatter intends pricing start at as low as $NZ33,400 in Europe, so $15,000 cheaper than the least expensive wholly electric new car here at the moment, the MG-ZS.

Already here as a parallel import, but not set to be repesented in NZ-new form, the ID.3 is selling well in Europe and the UK.

ID.3: The first of the family to hit production, a hatchback as important, in VW Germany’s view, as the Beetle and the original Golf.

It’s a core car, already well settled into European sale and doing well straight out of the box: In September, it comprehensively the Telsa Model to be Europe’s top-selling EV.

Right-hand drive production for the United Kingdom has begun, so conceivably were cars available, we could source from there. However, although grey importers seem keen to do so (there’s at least one here already), VW NZ has no plans for ID.3, mainly because it is concerned there will be insufficient consumer interest in an electric hatch.

Still, perhaps VW NZ will review if either ID.3 production frees up, or the private imports sell well or if it likes the cut of ongoing developments for ID.3, rolling out from next year. The core improvement is a modest increase in range – the 77kWh edition will gain an additional 38km, taking overall range to 570km, due in part to software improvements and advances in thermal management and cell efficiency.

ID.4 will be the first of the family to be sold by VW New Zealand … at the end of 2022.

ID.4: Revealed in September and closely based on the ID Crozz concept from 2017, this car is more than being simply a crossover version of the ID.3 – it’s the product onto which VW has pinned most international aspiration.

It debuts as Volkswagen's first all-electric SUV – making it a more obvious option for buyers looking to haul their family around in zero-emissions style than the ID.3, VW NZ believes.

At 4.58 metres long, it positions between the regular Tiguan (4486mm) and the stretched seven-seat Tiguan Allspace (4701mm). Specific interior figures are still to come, but VW claims the cabin will have the same sort of room normally the province of larger SUVs (because, no need for drivetrain packaging; it’s a flat-floored environment). Luggage space comes to 543 litres with the rear seats up and 1575 litres when folded flat. For context, the Tiguan lists 615/1775 litres and the Tiguan Allspace 230/1655.

In its initial form, motivation will be provided by a 150kW/309Nm electric motor drawing power from a 77kWh battery pack, with a WLTP-verified driving range of up to 520 kilometres.

However, VW has recently confirmed intent to add a ID.4 GTX, due to hit right-hand-drive production in mid-2021. GTX is VW-speak for ‘performance electric’; the ID.4 in this format will be dual motor (whereas the standard car s rear motor), so all-wheel-drive, with 225kW and 460Nm. VW is talking 0-100kmh in 6.2 seconds – so, 2.3s quicker than the standard rear-drive ID.4 - a top speed of around 190kmh and a range of up to 460km on a standard 82kWh battery.

Charging on a 120kW DC connection can get the ID.4 to 320km range in 30 minutes, while the 11kW on-board charger can deliver 53km of range in about an hour. 

ID.5 is a fastback ID.4, the styling expected to mirror that of the ID Crozz concept of 2017, seen here

ID.5: Based heavily on the ID.4, but with a coupe-style body. Effectively, then, VW’s equivalent of the Audi Q4. VW gave an indication of the look with a concept, the ID Crozz Coupe. The drivetrain has yet to be revealed, yet most pundits are picking it’ll mirror the ID.4’s. VW has indicated rear-drive and all-wheel-drive versions.

ID.6 will represent as a sedan as well as in the station wagon form seen here, in its ID Space Vizzion concept form.

ID.6: Actually two cars, a sedan and a station wagon. Also in production from next year, these are derived from the ID Vizzion and ID Space Vizzion concepts, most latterly known as the Aero A and Aero B, are based on an updated MEB platform and will arrive in 2023.

The concepts featured an 82kWh battery pack however it’s thought a 111kWh battery could become available, to provide up to 700km of WLTP-rated range.

A rear-mounted 359kW electric motor will standard while some versions will add another electric motor on the front axle to increase output to 449kW. 

VW has suggested the production editions will largely stay true to the look and format of the concepts it showed off at the 2019 Los Angele Motor Show.

As much as station wagons have become a niche choice because of consumer shift to SUVs with similar spaciousness and practicality, that sharp aesthetic is one reason why the car is worth having, says Brandstatter.

The stronger aerodynamic advantage from a lower-slung wagon is the reason why the car can achieve its range, he says.

“Its aerodynamic design ensures a top drag coefficient and an extremely attractive high-tech look. A feast for the senses — and for all tech and design fans.” 

The concept has a very swish interior that Brandstatter has suggested will also be enjoyed by customers, with comment that the production equivalent will have a cabin as noble and spacious as that of the Phaeton – VW’s thwarted attempt at an unlimited luxury vehicle that released in 2002 and failed to resonate.

ID.7 is the production version of the ID Buzz, inspired by one of VW’s most famous models from yesteryear, the Microbus/Kombi.

ID.7: Set to enter production in 2022, this is the model that has every VW fan particularly excited, if just because of the styling.

The ID Buzz passenger and IZ Buzz Cargo design studies of 2017 that foreshadow the ID.7 plainly draw lots of inspiration from one of VW’s most iconic models, the original Microbus. VW has vowed to keep that spirit alive with the production versions. Conventionally hinged front doors, automatic rear-sliding side doors, wheels up to 21 inches in diameter, according to a recent report by the website for British motoring weekly, Autocar.

ID.7 is destined to be the largest car coming off the MEB underpinning; there are standard and long wheelbase formats. VW has only shared dimension of the first, citing a 4962mm length, 1985mm width and1896mm height.

 The generously dimensioned interior will stretch to 2860mm in length; the passenger model will have seven seats, in three rows.

It’ll be produced in rear or all-wheel-drive and run an 82kWh battery. The large frontal area will impact on range expectation, Brandstatter has warned. “It won’t have 700km but something around 400km.” Still, any sacrifice for this styling is worth it, right?

Autocar reports that ID.7 will provision with the widest range of colour and trim opportunities. Special touches will include a smiling emoji symbol within the door handles, an ice scraper and bottle opener within the front middle stowage box and an umbrella graphic that is made visible within the base of the windscreen when the wipers are in operation.

ID.8 is at this stage just for China and will likely only be built there. This is the ID Roomzz design study from last year’s Shanghai motor show.

 ID.8: A very plush large SUV, purely for China at the moment, derived from the ID Roomzz concept displayed at last year’s Shanghai Motor Show. The concept featured a 82kWh battery and a cited 450km (WLTP) range, with capability of replenishing within 30 minutes to 80 percent of battery capacity on a 150kW (DC) set up.

The design study runs two electric motors a system output of 225 KW, this allowing 0-100kmh in 6.6s and a 180kmh top speed.